2 February 2015

Weekend Analyses of Ladies' Ski Jumping: Chapter 1.3: Back on the top Hinzenbach

Greetings! This is the final part of Hinzenbach's weekend analyses. Let's get to the final competition:

Sunday, February 1st, 2015 (Qualifying/Trial Round, Competition 2)

Having rested for the last day of the weekend, jumpers kicked things off with a Qualifying/Trial Round, depending on one's World Cup position. Norwegian Maren Lundby took her second Qualification victory: 87.5 meters and 115.2 points (-3.3/0.0). Nita Englund, USA, came second with a score of 111.6 (-2.4/0.0), followed by Coline Mattel, France, 108.5 points (-5.5/0.0). Chiara Hoelzl wasn't on the start list, probably preparing for the Junior World Ski Championships in Almaty, Kazachstan. Eva Pinkelnig was the best jumper among TOP10 with a score of 70.0 (-2.3/0.0) and 90.0 meters. Iraschko-Stolz, 89.0 meters, 68.0 points (-2.6/+4.8) was equal 2nd with Yuki Ito (-4.2/0.0), and Jaqueline Seifriedsberger (-5.9/0.0). Carina Vogt had the worst jump among the TOP10 jumpers: 83.5 meters and 57.0 points (-1.8/+2.4). It seemed like Iraschko-Stolz was heading for her fourth victory in a row.

Clear weather brought better, more equal conditions: wind was from towards the hill: 0.14 m/s to 0.95 m/s. The gate remained unchanged through the whole round, gate 18. Lundby was 14th after the 1st round with a score of 111.0 (-4.0/0.0); equal score with Sarah Hendrickson (-3.0/0.0), and both of them jumped 86.0 meters. The biggest surprise of the 1st round was Englund. She jumped 89.0 meters and scored 118.0 points (-2.0/0.0). Her result was equalized by Spela Rogelj, who jumped 88.0 meters with a compensation (-2.0/0.0). They were 3rd after the first round. Sarah Takanashi jumped after Rogelj: 87.0 meters, and a total of 114.2 (-2.8/0.0) brought her 7th position. Carina Vogt prepared for her jump: highest speed of the round 87.2 km/h (54,195 mph) gave her height and a great distance: Vogt's skis touched the ground at 92.0 meters. She raised her hand up in the air as a sign of a good jump. The judges weren't impressed by her landing, but despite that Vogt made a total score of 123.0 points (-2.0/0.0). World Cup leader Iraschko-Stolz did a good jump, but she didn't take lead after the first round. Austrian jumped 90.5 meters, scored 120.9 (-3.6/0.0), and was within a striking distance. Katja Pozun was disqualified due to an illegal suit. TOP3: 1. Vogt (GER) 123.0, 2. Iraschko-Stolz (AUT) 120.9 and 3. Rogelj (SLO) and Englund (USA) 118.0

After very interesting first round, the atmosphere was rising. Obviously it also happened among the judges, who raised the gate to position 19, and it stayed there, once again. Wind became even more equal in terms of variety, but for some of the jumpers it turned behind the hill: 0.06 from behind to 0.45 towards the hill. There were some clouds on the sky. Julia Kykkaenen gained the most positions on the second round. Finn jumped 86.5 meters, scored 112.9 points (-2.1/0.0), and the 9th jump of the round raised her from 27th to 21st. Lundby and Hendrickson didn't get much difference between themselves. On the second round Lundby scored 110.2 (-1.8/0.0) and Hendrickson's result was 108.2 (-0.8/0.0). Hendrickson dropped to 15th, and Lundby got equal 13th with her team member, Line Jahr. Taylor Henrich from Canada jumped one of the best jumps of the whole competition: 87.5 meters brought her 117.9 (+0.4/0.0) and gathered 231.9 in total. She went from 8th to 5th. Takanashi couldn't improve her position. Takanashi jumped 86.0 meters, and scored 114.1 (-0.4/0.0). She lost two positions to Henrich and Seifriedsberger, but Takanashi's finishing position was 8th, because Katharina Althaus went from 6th to 9th. Yuki Ito was the best Japanese jumper finishing in 4th.

Four best jumpers of the first round were challenged by Ito's high score. Englund had a chance to be on podium, but her second jump was 86.0 meters (-0.9/0.0), and she dropped to 7th place. Slovenian Rogelj didn't crack under the pressure. Second round's 87.5 meters (-2.0/0.0) brought her 117.0 points and she took the lead with a total score of 235.0. Daniela Iraschko-Stolz knew that she needed a good jump to challenge Vogt. She was determined do it and she flew the longest jump of the competition: 92.5 meters, but her landing points were surprisingly low. Austrian scored 123.9 (-2.6/0.0) and she took lead, while Carina Vogt was the only jumper left on the top of the hill. Vogt seemed calm, as she sat on the gate. She pushed herself of the gate, and began to gain speed. Her speed was the highest of the round, 87.6 km/h (54.44 mph), she gained height, but she didn't land as far the Austrian. She crossed the green line, which is a sign, where jumper has to land to take over the lead. Vogt seemed happy, but it was all about waiting, since her jump was 90.0 meters. Her landing was very good and it was noted by the judges. The "position bar" appeared on the right side of the screen, and it got higher and higher... It reached the top! By better landing points, she beat Iraschko-Stolz and took her second victory in her career, and this season! What an incredible competition! TOP3: 1. Vogt (GER) 245.2, 2. Iraschko-Stolz (AUT) 244.8 and 3. Rogelj (SLO) 235.0

Carina Vogt's victorious jump with my (excited) commentary!!!

Carina Vogt gave some interviews after the competition. Here are her comments:

"I'm satisfied and happy. I was three times on the second place. And today, I got it. Yeah, pretty good.
...
 I want to show my good shape in Rasnov too. And then we will see at the end, yeah."

"We had well prepared jumping hill, we had good conditions and had a lot of fun with ski jumping. I'm very happy that I won today. It's a good feeling that I improved from yesterday to today, and got my second World Cup victory ahead of Daniela. She is so strong at the moment, and yeah, good feeling.
...
 I want to show again my best jumps in the competition (Rasnov), and yeah, then we will see."

Carina Vogt's interview for FIS

World Cup standings (8/14):
1. Iraschko-Stolz 622
2. Vogt 568
3. Takanashi 493
4. Rogelj 392
5. Seifriedsberger 283
6. Ito 261

In the conclusion, I may say that it was a fascinating weekend. There were no major surprises in the competitions, and it seems like the TOP2 is leaving others behind quite clearly in the overall standings. Next weekend there will be two very exciting competitions. Last season Vogt didn't go to Romania (Rasnov), so she'll have to adapt to the hill, but it shouldn't be big problem. When someone is in a great shape, then one jumps well on every hill. Thank you very much for reading this post. I hope that you have checked out the previous two texts. Remember to follow, and don't forget the motto of the YouTube channel and this blog: "Sport is the force!"

Post Race Thoughts: Episode 1 (video)
Complete World Cup Standings (PDF-file) February 1st, 2015
The Official Results (PDF-file) February 1st, 2015
Results of 1st Round (PDF-file) February 1st, 2015
Results of Qualifying (PDF-file), February 1st, 2015

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