21 February 2015

Weekend Analyses of Ladies' Ski Jumping, Championship Edition: Chapter 2: Who takes over HS100 hill, who's the Champion?

Greetings!
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I'm very pleased to write this analysis. You must have seen some items of news, how it went, but let's go through the competition piece by piece. I guess it's time to start with the trial round.

Friday, February 20th, 2015, Falun, Sweden: Lugnet HS100 (Trial round + Grand finale)

Trial round (Wind: 0.20 m/s behind (+1.5 p) to 0.98 m/s towards (-6.3 p) Gate 25, G 26 (-3.1 points)):

Last test before the competition was held under cloudy sky. Wind direction and strength altered during the round. Chinese jumper Xueyao Li started, and jumped 76.0 meters (-4.2/0.0), and scored 27.8 points, enough for 39th place. Anna Odine Stroem crossed 80 meters as the first jumper: 82.5 m (-3.9/0.0), 31st with 41.1 points. Elena Runggaldier jumped into TOP20, after 88.0 m's (-6.3/0.0) flight, with 49.7 in total. Tara Geraghty-Moats performed well on the trial round: 89.5 m (-2.9/0.0), 10th, 56.1 points. Jessica Jerome's 88.0 m's jump (+0.8/0.0) was enough for 56.8, and 9th position. Taylor Henrich flew 91.0 m (-0.1/0.0), and came 3rd in the results, 61.9 points. Jury decided to raise the gate for four jumpers: Sarah Hendrickson capitalized on that, as the defending Champion landed at 93.0 m (-2.7/-3.1), got 4th with 60.2 points. Jacqueline Seifriedsberger's jump of 91.0 m (-2.8/0.0) took her to 7th place. Yuki Ito took the lead from Henrich, with 94.0 m's flight (-1.9/0.0), and Japanese jumper scored 66.1 points. Spela Rogelj jumped 90.5 m (-2.0/0.0), and finished 8th. Carina Vogt flew 91.0 m (-2.2/0.0), which gave German 6th position. Sara Takanashi finished one position higher: 91.0 meters (-2.1/0.0), and 59.9 points. Daniela Iraschko-Stolz landed at 92.5 m (-1.4/0.0) and was ranked 2nd.
TOP10: 1. Ito JPN 66.1, 2. Iraschko-Stolz AUT 63.6, 3. Henrich CAN 61.9, 4. Hendrickson USA 60.2, 5. Takanashi JPN 59.9, 6. Vogt GER 59.8, 7. Seifriedsberger AUT 59.2, 8. Rogelj SLO 59.0, 9. Jerome USA 56.8, 10. Geraghty-Moats USA 56.1

Ito seemed to be very strong. Could she perform two more jumps on the same level, or would so far more succeeded competitiors, such as Iraschko-Stolz, Takanashi, Vogt or Hendrickson, handle the pressure better?

First round (Wind: 0.79 m/s behind (+6.1 p) to 0.71 m/s towards (-4.5 p), Gate 25):

Clouds remained above Lugnet's sports center. Wind changed more radically, and skill wasn't the only needed thing to succeed. Xueyao Li sat on the starting bench as the first jumper: 75.5 meters (+2.2/0.0), 78.2 points and 37th place. Barbora Blazkova didn't capitalize on the best wind conditions suggested by the computer: Blazkova's flight ended at 75.5 meters (-4.5/0.0), and Czech Republic's jumper was ranked 39th. Some of the succeeded jumpers from previous World Championships and Olympic Games had issues: Ulrike Graessler, silver medalist from Liberec, was 23rd, Elena Runggaldier, silver medalist from Oslo came 27th, and bronze medalist from Oslo and Sochi, Coline Mattel was only 28th! Julia Clair, Mattel's team mate jumped next, and Clair continued her good jumps from qualification: 89.0 meters (-1.9/0.0) gave French jumper 10th place after the first round. Jumper number 24, Taylor Henrich proved her very good shape, as Canadian flew 90.5 meters (+2.0/0.0), and took the lead of the competition with 115.5 points. Sarah Hendrickson began TOP10 jumpers' group: the defending champion was unlucky, as strongest wind from behind forced her to land at 87.0 meters (+6.1/0.0), and jumper from the United States of America wasn't satisfied with 111.6 points, and 8th place after the first round. Four favorites of the competition seemed to perform well. Yuki Ito flew 89.0 meters (+2.4/0.0), and was 2nd 1.6 points behind Canadian. Carina Vogt had a great chance to improve her 5th place from Val di Fiemme. Vogt began realizing the plan by landing at 91.5 meters (+2.2/0.0), scoring 119.2 in total, and taking the lead. Slight smile appeared on German's face. Sara Takanashi launched herself into the air, and didn't land until 90.0 meters' line (+2.9/0.0), but her poor landing decreased the amount of points, and was ranked 8th after her jump. World Champion from Oslo, Daniela Iraschko-Stolz, showed, why she's the leader in World Cup standings: 92.5 meters (+2.9/0.0), new hill record, and 3.7 points gap to Vogt.

TOP10: 1. Iraschko-Stolz AUT 122.9, 2. Vogt GER 119.2, 3. Henrich CAN 115.5, 4. Ito JPN 113.9, 5. Pinkelnig AUT 113.6, 6. Seifriedsberger AUT 112.9, 7. Rogelj SLO, 111.9, 8. Hendrickson USA 111.6, 9. Takanashi JPN 111.4, 10. Clair FRA 108.6.

Takanashi's total score was a bit of a disappointment. Other three main favorites came across more calm, and Henrich's third position would bring more interest into the final jumps.

Grand Finale, Second Round (Wind: 0.38 m/s behind to 0.45 m/s towards, Gate 26):

Obviously clouds wanted to watch this exciting event until the end. Michaela Dolezelova got the honor to start the round: Czech's 83.0 meters (+1.0/0.0) were enough to overtake Elena Runggaldier, and it helped Dolezelova to finish 29th. Coline Mattel was very unhappy with her result: so far her worst position in World Championships was 5th, but this event brought French jumper 27th place. Ladies' Ski Jumping's performance level has raised during past couple of years, as the highest climb of the round was only five spots: Jessica Jerome from the United States flew 90.5 meters (+0.6/0.0), gathered 219.4 points, and got from 14th to 9th. Jerome was also leading after 20/30 jumpers, second was Irina Avvakumova from Russia, and third Nita Englund, Jerome's team member.

TOP10 was begun with French coach's last hope for a good result: flag was wawed, and so began Julia Clair's performance. For her, her coach's and French fans, it ended sadly: 83.5 meters (-0.8/0.0), 205.3 points in total, and 21st place in the official results. Sara Takanashi had a lot to improve on the second round. Determined Japanese jumper launched herself into the air, and her skies touched the ground at 93.0 meters (0.1/0.0), which gave her a total score of 228.3, lead of the competition, and new hill record. Sarah Hendrickson's goal was medal, but it the task wasn't after first rounds decent jump: the defending Champion fought herself at 91.0 meters (-0.7/0.0), but she couldn't beat Takanashi, and took 2nd position. Spela Rogelj didn't cross 90.0 meters, as Slovenian flew 88.5 meters (-1.0/0.0), and her score of 217.9 points gave her 10th position in the official results. Val di Fiemme's bronze medalist, Jacqueline Seifriedsberger couldn't beat Takanashi nor Hendrickson. Austrian jumped 90.5 meters (-0.8/0.0), gave her current 3rd with 225.6 points. Eva Pinkelnig dropped from 5th to 8th, as she flew 89.5 meters (-0.3/0.0). Yuki Ito sat on the starting bench to wait for the flag to go down: Ito got the signal, gained her speed, and her flight didn't end until 93.0 meters (+0.2/0.0). Japanese jumper gathered 235.1 points, took the lead from Takanashi, and waited for three remaining jumps. Henrich had a chance to be the best North American jumper. Canadian jumped very well through the whole day: Taylor's last jump of the day went to 91.0 meters, but her unbalanced landing didn't give her much hope for high total score. 15.5, 15.5, 16.0, 16.0 and 16.0, gave her 47.5 points from style, and Canadian took 3rd place, but not in the official results. Carina Vogt moved herself to the starting position, pushed herself of the gate, gained top speed of 86.3 km/h (53,636 mph), spread her skies into the V-position, and German's skies touched the ground at 92.0 meters (+1.2/0.0). Vogt seemed pleased, and her beautiful landing would surely give her the lead: judges disagreed, and gave her only 5 x 17.5, 52.5 in total, and Carina's lead points were 236.9. Only one jumper was remaining. It seemed like Iraschko-Stolz got a pretty simple task to do: 89.5 meters would take Austrian to the second World Championship title. Iraschko-Stolz gained her speed, launched herself in the air, but the flight didn't look so good. She made a quick landing, before the green line, at 89.0 meters. I already stood up and raised my hands in the air as a sign of Vogt's gold medal. Iraschko-Stolz waited for her total score and finishing position: 3rd place, 233.8 points, and she became the first woman ever to get two individual medals of World Championships in Ladies' Ski Jumping. Carina Vogt couldn't believe the turn of events, which led her to be the first female jumper to win both Winter Olympic Games and World Championship's gold medal. German got multiple hugs as a congratulation! YES, YES, YES!!! JUST DET, PÅ DET SÄTTET = EXACTLY, THAT'S THE WAY!!!

TOP10:
1. Carina Vogt  GER   91.5 meters + 92.0 meters, 236.9 points
2. Yuki Ito  JPN   89.0 m + 93.0 m, 235.1 p
3. Daniela Iraschko-Stolz  AUT   92.5 m + 89.0 m, 233.8 p
4. Sara Takanashi  JPN   90.0 m + 93.0 m, 228.3 p
5. Taylor Henrich  CAN   90.5 m + 91.0 m, 227.9 p
6. Sarah Hendrickson  USA   87.0 m + 91.0 m, 226.4 p
7. Jacqueline Seifriedsberger  AUT   89.0 m + 90.5 m, 225.6 p
8. Eva Pinkelnig  AUT   89.0 m + 89.5 m, 223.8 p
9. Jessica Jerome  USA   86.5 m + 90.5 m, 219.4 p
10. Spela Rogelj  SLO   87.0 m + 88.5 m, 217.9 p

It was the most exciting ladies' ski jumping competition I've ever seen. Of course, World Championship title was at stake, and Carina Vogt was among the favourites, but overall competition was enjoyable to watch: 22 jumpers collected more than 200 points in total. There'll definetly more material from the competition on YouTube, so check the channel.

All times medal standings in FIS Ski World Championships, Ladies' Ski Jumping:
1. the United States of America   2  -  -
2. Germany   1  1  -
3. Austria   1  -  2
4. Japan   -  2  -
5. Italy   -  1  -
6. Norway  -  -  1
6. France  -  -  1

From previous medalists, Anette Sagen from Norway, and Lindsay Van from the United States, didn't even qualify into their World Ski Championships teams. The United States kept their lead, Germany got closer, and Austria has achieved 3 medals in 4 events.

World Championships aren't over yet for some of the ladies' Mixed team event is held 22nd of February, 2015. TOP7 jumpers, excluding Henrich and Hendrickson, are the biggest candidates to take the medals. Let's hope for another gold for Carina! Apologies for a bit late posting time, at it's more than 24 hours after the competition, but I was busy with recording YouTube videos, and watching other events from Falun. Thank you very much, and enjoy Carina Vogt's success: there'll be plenty more of it!!! :) Njut av den sista tävlingen!!!

Links:
Carina Vogt's World Champion's interview + TOP3 flower ceremony, German Anthem! YouTube!!!
Official results (PDF-file), World Ski Championships, 2015, Falun, Ladies' Ski Jumping
Results of the 1st round (PDF-file), World Ski Championships, 2015, Falun, Ladies' Ski Jumping
Trial round's results (PDF-file), World Ski Championships, 2015, Falun, Ladies' Ski Jumping

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